The can win the NFC South, but they're already guaranteed a berth in the NFL playoffs. The defending NFC champion can punch their ticket with a win. Lose and they'll need help. The division rivals meet Sunday in a 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff.The Falcons are four-point home favorites, up a full point from where the line opened. The Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas Greg Gaines Jersey thinks will be scored, is 44.5, down 2.5 from the opener.Before you make any bets on Panthers-Falcons, you need to see what SportsLine stat geek R.J. White has to say.Last Sunday, White told SportsLine readers to back the as 5.5-point favorites against the Falcons in another huge NFC South matchup. The result: New Orleans cruised by 10, easily covering the spread. Amazingly, that cash improved White to 15-4 in his past 19 against-the-spread picks involving the Falcons. Anyone who has followed his advice is having a very happy holiday season.Now, White Matt Gay Jersey has evaluated every matchup, every injury and every trend and locked in another strong point-spread pick for Panthers-Falcons. You can see it over at SportsLine.White knows the Falcons have struggled mightily this season under first-year offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian. They're 9-6, but have only topped 30 points four times. The , and are all averaging more points than Atlanta (22.1). Wide receiver has just four 100-yard games and three touchdowns after he hit the century mark seven times last season and scored six times Jonah Williams Jersey . , and all have more touchdown pa ses than (19).But just because the Falcons have been inconsistent doesn't mean they can't cover, especially at home in a critical game. The Falcons will be highly motivated. If they lose, they would need the Seahawks to lose to the to make the postseason. A chance for redemption after their fourth- Coleman Shelton Jersey quarter Super Bowl collapse should energize the Dirty Birds.The last time the Panthers and Falcons met, the Panthers won by three (20-17), but that game was in Carolina. The Panthers rushed for over 200 yards in that game, with quarterback leading the way with 86. Expect Falcons coach Dan Quinn to make the nece sarily adjustments on Sunday.SportsLine's advanced computer model is calling for Ryan to throw for almost 300 yards and two touchdowns on Sunday. Jones is the best bet to find the end zone receiving and should also hover around 100 yards. Jones practiced sparingly this week, but was not listed on the injury report. It's also calling for Newton to top 250 total yards and two scores. He has eight total TDs in the last four weeks, including a four-TD gem against Green Bay two weeks ago. He has at least 50 yards rushing the last four games.White is leaning Under, but knows there's a Buddy Howell Jersey critical stat no one is thinking about that ultimately determines the point-spread winner for Panthers-Falcons.So which side should you back in Panthers vs. Falcons on Sunday? , and find out.